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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -188 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The leading projections forecast Jameson Williams to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest (16.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (9.3% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to air yards, Jameson Williams ranks in the towering 79th percentile among WRs this year, accruing an impressive 72.0 per game.
  • Jameson Williams's 51.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 78th percentile for WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 46.4% red zone run rate.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-most TDs in the NFL (1.36 per game) against the Giants defense this year.

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