My Account Log Out
 
 
Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Jameson Williams to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest (15.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.3% in games he has played).
  • When talking about air yards, Jameson Williams grades out in the towering 77th percentile among wideouts this year, accumulating a superb 72.0 per game.
  • Jameson Williams ranks in the 79th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a massive 51.6 mark this year.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.40 per game through the air (85th percentile), Jameson Williams rates among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • This year, the formidable Eagles defense has allowed a measly 66.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-smallest rate in football.
  • This year, the stout Eagles defense has yielded a meager 0.44 TDs through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™