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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Jameson Williams has accounted for 5.6% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Detroit's offense near the goal line in this contest at 12.5%.
  • With a stellar ratio of 0.30 per game through the air (80th percentile), Jameson Williams stands among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the league among WRs this year.
  • This year, the anemic Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed a whopping 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the poor Commanders defense has conceded a monstrous 1.22 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 6th-worst rate in football.
  • The Commanders cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused offense in football near the goal line (47.2% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Jameson Williams has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (70.0 per game).

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