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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an extraordinary 88.9% Route Participation% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Jameson Williams stands among the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.

Jameson Williams's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.5% to 69.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Lions offensive gameplan to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator John Morton now calling the plays.

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a heavy 10-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

Jameson Williams's receiving talent has declined this year, accumulating a measly 2.1 adjusted receptions compared to 3.8 last year.

More Jameson Williams Player Props

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