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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jameson Williams has run a route on 88.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Chicago's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.04 seconds per play accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Chicago Bears defense has allowed a feeble 64.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 10th-lowest rate in the league.

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