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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • With a high 96.2% Route% (97th percentile) this year, Jameson Williams rates as one of the WRs with the most usage in football.
  • The model projects Jameson Williams to accumulate 7.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Jameson Williams rates as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an excellent 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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