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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+116/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.1 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Jameson Williams is forecasted by the model to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.8 targets.
  • The leading projections forecast Jameson Williams to be much more involved in his team's pass attack in this contest (28.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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