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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jameson Williams has run a route on 95.1% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • In this contest, Jameson Williams is projected by the projection model to rank in the 76th percentile among wideouts with 6.4 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Jameson Williams's 2.7 adjusted catches per game this season shows a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.8 rate.
  • This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a feeble 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

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