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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 94.5% Route% (93rd percentile) this year, Jameson Williams ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • This year, the anemic Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed a whopping 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • The Commanders cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Jameson Williams's 2.1 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 3.8 mark.
  • Jameson Williams's 61.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 65.5% rate.

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