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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-113/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • With a high 96.2% Route% (97th percentile) this year, Jameson Williams rates as one of the WRs with the most usage in football.
  • The model projects Jameson Williams to accumulate 7.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • After averaging 70.0 air yards per game last year, Jameson Williams has posted big gains this year, now pacing 83.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Jameson Williams's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.33 figure last season.
  • The Vikings defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 109.0) to WRs this year.

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