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Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an impressive 94.5% Route% (93rd percentile) this year, Jameson Williams ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • This year, the anemic Washington Commanders pass defense has allowed a whopping 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. wideouts this year, yielding 9.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.
  • The Commanders cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Jameson Williams has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (70.0 per game).
  • Jameson Williams has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).

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