James Robinson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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James Robinson

NFL · Player Props

James Robinson

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

James Robinson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+165/-234).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +191 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 8th-quickest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, leading opposing offenses to average 26.56 seconds per play.
James Robinson has received 52.8% of his team's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile among RBs.
James Robinson has rushed for 0.62 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (95th percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the 5th-most touchdowns in football (1.11 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends grade out as the 6th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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