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James Proche

James Proche Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
James Proche Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-3600).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3600.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • The opposing side have run for the 4th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.64 per game) against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to run only 62.3 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (0th percentile) this year, James Proche places among the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in football.
  • In regards to air yards, James Proche grades out in the measly 14th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling just 6.0 per game.
  • James Proche ranks in just the 8th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) with a subpar 4.5 figure since the start of last season.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.8%) vs. wideouts this year (59.8%).

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