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James Proche

James Proche Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
James Proche Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-167/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Titans are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Titans to pass on 50.7% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.
  • While James Proche has accounted for 3.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Tennessee's passing offense in this game at 11.0%.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Titans to run the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • With a paltry 0.9 adjusted catches per game (9th percentile) this year, James Proche has been as one of the bottom WRs in the NFL in the NFL.
  • This year, the strong Jaguars defense has allowed a puny 61.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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