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James Cook

James Cook Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
James Cook Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +156 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 58.8 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • While James Cook has received 65.4% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Buffalo's rushing attack near the end zone in this week's contest at 55.3%.
  • The Buffalo O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • James Cook's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 84.6% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
  • The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bills to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The receiving TD field reads "0" on James Cook's box scores this year.
  • James Cook has rushed for 1.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in football among running backs (100th percentile).

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