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James Cook

James Cook Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-138/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills will be rolling out backup QB Josh Allen in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect James Cook to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this contest (10.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.1% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 94th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a whopping 3.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • The predictive model expects James Cook to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line this week (71.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.5% in games he has played).
  • With an outstanding rate of 0.63 rushing touchdowns per game (95th percentile), James Cook ranks among the top rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in football vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (67.4% Adjusted Completion%).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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