My Account Log Out
 
 
James Cook

James Cook Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-146/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 131.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • As it relates to air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 81st percentile among running backs this year, totaling a monstrous 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • James Cook slots into the 77th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) with a massive 13.0 mark this year.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • James Cook's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 84.7% to 94.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are heavily favored by 10.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 9th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 47.3% red zone run rate.
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™