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James Cook

James Cook Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-121/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Cook has put up a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • James Cook's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 84.6% to 96.7%.
  • This year, the stout Patriots run defense has given up a measly 0.38 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league in the red zone (47.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Among all running backs, James Cook ranks in the 92nd percentile for red zone carries this year, making up 60.0% of the volume in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • James Cook has run for 0.57 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (93rd percentile).

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