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James Cook

James Cook Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
  • As it relates to air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 91st percentile among RBs this year, totaling a colossal 3.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.
  • James Cook's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 84.7% to 96.0%.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been gouged for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (89%) vs. RBs this year (89.0%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 47.0% red zone run rate.
  • Right now, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Out of all RBs, James Cook grades out in the 88th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, comprising 53.7% of the usage in his offense's running game near the goal line.

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