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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (+117/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -144 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ +117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • In this game, James Cook is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.9 carries.
  • James Cook has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this season (66.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.9%).
  • James Cook has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (89.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).
  • James Cook's ground efficiency (5.35 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (95th percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 85.0 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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