James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 13, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's contest, James Cook is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 81st percentile among RBs with 14.1 carries.
Among all running backs, James Cook grades out in the 84th percentile for rush attempts since the start of last season, making up 50.0% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
With a stellar total of 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (93rd percentile), James Cook ranks as one of the best running backs in the NFL since the start of last season.
James Cook's rushing efficiency (4.67 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (83rd percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
James Cook checks in as one of the weakest running backs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging just 2.63 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 22nd percentile.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 101.0 per game) vs. the Dolphins defense since the start of last season.
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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