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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • James Cook has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this year (52.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (42.2%).
  • The Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • James Cook's 92.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a significant boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 84.6% mark.
  • Since the start of last season, the shaky Falcons pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 88.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bills are forecasted by the projections to run only 62.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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