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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Cook's 14.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 76th percentile for running backs.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • James Cook's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a substantial gain in his receiving skills over last season's 84.7% mark.
  • The New York Jets safeties project as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 6-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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