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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-117/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • With an extraordinary 47.9% Route Participation% (79th percentile) this year, James Cook places among the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in football.
  • The Bills offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • James Cook's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 84.6% to 92.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Chiefs, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.1 per game) this year.
  • James Cook has accrued a measly -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.
  • James Cook has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).

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