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James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Bills have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 58.8 plays per game.James Cook has run a route on 49.0% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.The predictive model expects James Cook to earn 3.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.The Buffalo O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.James Cook's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a meaningful growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 84.6% mark.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 8-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.The model projects the Bills to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.James Cook's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, compiling just 5.82 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.97 rate last season.James Cook's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a significant diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 8.1% figure.
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