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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Buffalo Bills vs New Orleans Saints

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Saints defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (33.8 per game) since the start of last season.

James Cook has run a route on 45.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

In this week's contest, James Cook is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among running backs with 3.2 targets.

As it relates to air yards, James Cook ranks in the lofty 81st percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging a superb 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a huge 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bills since the start of last season (only 56.0 per game on average).

James Cook's 6.0 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteworthy decline in his receiving prowess over last year's 7.0 rate.

James Cook's talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.12 figure last year.

More James Cook Player Props

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