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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • When it comes to air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 81st percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling an astounding 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • James Cook's 14.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) grades out among the best in football: 76th percentile for running backs.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • James Cook comes in as one of the best pass-catching RBs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 18.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
  • James Cook's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a substantial gain in his receiving skills over last season's 84.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Bills being a 6-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Bills since the start of last season (a measly 55.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.

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