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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Cook has put up a monstrous 2.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among RBs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.
  • With an impressive 17.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (79th percentile) this year, James Cook places as one of the leading pass-game running backs in the league.
  • James Cook's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 84.6% to 96.7%.
  • James Cook's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a remarkable progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 7.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • James Cook's 60.7% Snap% this year represents a noteable progression in his offensive workload over last year's 50.0% mark.
  • James Cook's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.12 figure last season.
  • The Patriots pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, giving up 5.50 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

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