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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Cook has run a route on 45.8% of his offense's passing plays this year, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • When talking about air yards, James Cook ranks in the lofty 88th percentile among running backs this year, averaging an impressive 2.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • James Cook's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 84.6% to 96.4%.
  • With a terrific 7.6 adjusted yards per target (85th percentile) this year, James Cook rates as one of the top pass-game RBs in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 45.5% of their chances: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 126.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • James Cook's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a noteable regression in his effectiveness in space over last year's 8.1% figure.

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