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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • James Cook has totaled a massive 3.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile when it comes to RBs. (This might not seem too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • James Cook's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 84.7% to 95.5%.
  • James Cook grades out as one of the most efficient receivers in football when it comes to running backs, averaging an exceptional 7.49 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 79th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • James Cook has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, playing on 60.0% of snaps compared to just 50.0% last year.
  • James Cook's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 8.12 rate last season.

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