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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a high 47.1% Route Participation% (76th percentile) this year, James Cook stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in football.
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • James Cook's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 84.6% to 94.7%.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (42.0) versus RBs this year.
  • The Buccaneers pass defense has shown weak efficiency against running backs this year, yielding 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 51.6% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • James Cook's 10.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies an impressive decline in his receiving talent over last year's 17.0 figure.

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