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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect James Cook to earn 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to air yards, James Cook ranks in the towering 96th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a staggering 8.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • James Cook's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 10.4.
  • The Bills O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against running backs this year, yielding 4.54 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.

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