James Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in football.
James Cook's 47.6% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a noteable growth in his passing attack volume over last year's 19.1% mark.
When it comes to air yards, James Cook ranks in the towering 95th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a colossal 4.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus running backs this year, yielding 4.91 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.
This year, the daunting Eagles pass defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a paltry 4.9 YAC.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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