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James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.6% pass rate.THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Buffalo Bills have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects James Cook to total 3.2 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.James Cook has run a route on 13.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile among running backs.The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.James Cook has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL among running backs, catching a measly 60.2% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile.
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