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James Cook

James Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Bills are a heavy favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to run on 45.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Bills have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 58.8 plays per game.
  • The projections expect James Cook to accumulate 15.8 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • James Cook has been a much bigger part of his team's ground game this year (63.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.

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