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James Cook

James Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • In this game, James Cook is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 19.9 carries.
  • James Cook has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this season (66.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (50.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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