James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is suggested by the Bills being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
This week, James Cook is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.3 carries.
James Cook has been given 56.0% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Bills rank as the 10th-least run-focused team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 37.9% run rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to have only 126.8 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 54.2 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Rams defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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