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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

In this week's contest, James Conner is predicted by the projection model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.3 rush attempts.

With an impressive rate of 64.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (88th percentile), James Conner places as one of the best pure rushers in the league since the start of last season.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's collection of DTs has been awful since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.

James Conner has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this season (47.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (60.4%).

James Conner's 2.7 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his rushing proficiency over last season's 4.6 figure.

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