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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to run on 46.1% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.

In this contest, James Conner is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 85th percentile among RBs with 14.3 carries.

James Conner has grinded out 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league when it comes to running backs (89th percentile).

Since the start of last season, the deficient Carolina Panthers run defense has been torched for a whopping 192.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects James Conner to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this week's game (49.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.4% in games he has played).

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