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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.6 offensive plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The New Orleans Saints defense has been something of pass funnel last year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (34.4 per game) last year.

This week, James Conner is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.

With an elite 11.2% Target% (87th percentile) last year, James Conner stands among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

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