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James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.Our trusted projections expect James Conner to accrue 3.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.With a high 11.4% Target% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, James Conner places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.The Arizona O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.With a remarkable 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (90th percentile) since the start of last season, James Conner stands as one of the leading pass-catching RBs in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.In regards to air yards, James Conner ranks in the lowly 3rd percentile among running backs since the start of last season, with just -6.0 per game.
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