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James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Carolina Panthers

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cardinals to run on 46.1% of their downs: the 5th-highest rate among all teams this week.

In this contest, James Conner is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 85th percentile among RBs with 14.3 carries.

The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The predictive model expects James Conner to be a less important option in his offense's ground game in this week's game (49.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (59.4% in games he has played).

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