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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This year, the fierce Packers run defense has yielded a feeble 87.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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