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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-118/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cincinnati Bengals may take to the air less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling out backup quarterback Joe Flacco.
  • The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.1% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.0 plays on offense called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Ja'Marr Chase to be a more important option in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (33.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (25.7% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Bengals being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 52.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • The Cincinnati offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the daunting Jets defense has conceded a feeble 0.71 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 9th-smallest rate in the league.

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