My Account Log Out
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-188).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +166 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals will be forced to utilize backup QB Jake Browning in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a big -10-point underdog in this game.
  • The projections expect the Bengals as the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.
  • While Ja'Marr Chase has earned 21.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Cincinnati's pass game near the end zone in this game at 30.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (just 48.2 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Detroit Lions, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.8 per game) this year.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (73.0 per game) than he did last year (90.0 per game).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™