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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Jake Browning.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.

The predictive model expects the Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (60.4% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cincinnati Bengals.

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.51 seconds per snap.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the stout Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a measly 68.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-best rate in football.

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