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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-136/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.4% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.1% red zone pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to call the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • Ja'Marr Chase has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.9% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Bengals being a massive -8.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 74.8% to 68.6%.

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