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Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-158/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -158.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bengals are projected by our trusted projection set to run 67.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

Ja'Marr Chase has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 25.7% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers.

After accruing 90.0 air yards per game last season, Ja'Marr Chase has undergone big improvement this season, currently averaging 106.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are a massive favorite by 7 points.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

The Cincinnati O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Ja'Marr Chase's 68.4% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a significant decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 74.8% figure.

The Cardinals pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) vs. WRs this year (62.4%).

More Ja'Marr Chase Player Props

Ja'Marr Chase TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17