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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Ja'Marr Chase Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-154/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 65.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (64.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cincinnati Bengals.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bengals offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.24 seconds per snap.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.
  • With an impressive 27.7% Red Zone Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Ja'Marr Chase has been among the wideouts with the most usage near the goal line in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Ja'Marr Chase's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 74.8% to 67.3%.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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