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Ja'Marr Chase

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Ja'Marr Chase Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals may throw the ball less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Flacco.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Bengals being an enormous -14-point underdog in this week's game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their opportunities: the highest rate on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.0 per game) this year.

The leading projections forecast Ja'Marr Chase to notch 11.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to call the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.8 plays per game.

In regards to pass protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.

Ja'Marr Chase's 4.6 adjusted receptions per game this season reflects an impressive reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 7.5 rate.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Green Bay's collection of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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